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The projected population of Scotland in 2041 according to the high migration variant was previously labelled as 5.99 million. Data and analysis can be found in this section. In December 2020, an estimated 8.9% of the population in Scotland would have tested positive for antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 from a blood sample (95% confidence interval: 7.2% to 10.9%). The population estimates for Scotland, council areas and health board areas are published ten months after this date. The latest set of prison population projections suggest that the daily prison population in Scotland will increase from an annual average of 8,300 in 2012-13 to 9,500 by 2020-21. It is estimated that an average of 398,000 people … ONS Comparable Datasets. Statisitcs Customer Services telephone: (0131) 314 4299 Back to table of contents. The small area population estimates are published fourteen months after this date. The fastest growing areas are in the East surrounding the City … The latest set of 2018-based population projections for Scotland (Chart 1) produced by National Records of Scotland show the total population of Scotland rising from 5.40 million in 2016 to 5.58 million in 2043. Small area population estimates at data zone and intermediate zone levels, Scottish … Whilst there are no changes to Scotland’s projected population, this correction has affected the cross-UK and European comparisons. ... except for Scotland. The dates of future publications will be announced on our Future Publications page. Population projections. 3. This is a biennial publication. ... Glasgow in Scotland has a population of 598,830. ... (2014) from 1981 to 2019. This section contains information about the limitations and uses of projections. They are based on assumptions of future levels of births, deaths and migration. This is a biennial publication. The projections use past trends in mortality, fertility, and migration to estimate what the population of an area might look like in the future. Principal projection - Great Britain population in age groups. statisticscustomerservices@nrscotland.gov.uk, National population projections by sex and age, with UK and European comparisons. Stats at a Glance E-mail: statisticscustomerservices@nrscotland.gov.uk, For media enquiries, please contact communications@nrscotland.gov.uk. There is no change to the projections for Scotland, Northern Ireland or the UK as a whole. Population Projections. Figures published today by the National Records of Scotland provide the latest mid-2018 population estimates for the 6,976 small areas of Scotland, known as data zones. Note: Health and Social Care … Principal projection The population of Scotland is projected to rise by 9 per cent over the next 25 years, from 5.31 million in 2012 to 5.78 million by 2037, and continue to rise into the future. Some areas are projected to increase in size while others to decrease. Scotland may have been first occupied in the last interglacial period (130,000–70,000 BC), but the earliest surviving archaeological evidence of human settlement is of Mesolithic hunter-gatherer encampments. The figures project that there will be 240,000 more pensioners over the next 25 years, an increase of 23.2%, while the working age population reduces by 7,000 people. The latest set of prison population projections suggest that the daily prison population in Scotland will increase from an annual average of 8,300 in 2012-13 to 9,500 by 2020-21 . In its 2011 review the GROS predicted that Scotland's population would rise by 10% to 5.76 million by 2035 and to 6.2m by 2085. Based on 2011 census data. Statistical bulletin for the UK population projections, as well as open data at UK and Scotland level. Projections. The Act gives the Statistics Authority power to re-assess whether the Code of Practice for Official Statistics continues to be complied with in relation to official statistics already designated as National Statistics. This section also includes historical data back to 2001 and variant population projections for Scotland. Not National Statistics. Uses and Limitations of Population Projections Population Pyramids of Scotland showing the changing age and sex structure of the country over time. Figures published by National Records of Scotland. Detailed Datasets by age and sex: Key Findings. These charts will be particularly useful for users who are interested in the changing demographics of Scotland. These suggest a highly mobile boat-using people, probably with a very low density of population. Population estimates are broken down by single year ages and by sex, and gives totals for both. Scotland: The 2018-based projections show the total population of Scotland will increase from 5,44 million in 2018 to 5,54 million by 2043 and continue to rise into the future.Along with the projected rise in population is the projected increase in the number of people of pensionable age, … Population projections have limitations. The sample size for Scotland for the IPS is small, so estimates derived from this survey are subject to large sampling and … The United Kingdom's population is expected to continue its rise throughout the 21st century. The mortality assumptions underlying the population projections are on a mid-year basis so there may be small differences between the figures presented in this article and the national population projections published datasets. But this pattern is not to be experienced in all areas of Scotland. The 50% future EU migration variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex. Population projections and depopulation across Scotland NRS have published the latest Population Projections for Scottish Areas. This year it includes prison population projections to 2020-21 which were previously published separately, as … United Kingdom Population Projections. This has now been changed to the correct figure of 5.96 million. It is forecast that while the … Population Projections. Population projections for Glasgow by age group, 2018 - 2043 Click on graph to expand. Statisitcs Customer Services telephone: (0131) 314 4299 High population variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics. United Kingdom Demographics. Please get in touch if you need any further information, or have any suggestions for improvement. Corrections have been made to the infographic (page 4), section 3 (pages 15-17) and section 5 (pages 20-21) of the publication. Population estimates and projections for Scotland This is one of a series of reports prepared under the provisions of the Statistics and Registration Service Act 2007 . The projected population of Scotland on 30 June 2043 is: 5,574,800 This is from the Projected Population of Scotland (2018-based) publication. E-mail: statisticscustomerservices@nrscotland.gov.uk, For media enquiries, please contact communications@nrscotland.gov.uk. Scotland has historically experienced higher mortality rates at all but the very youngest ages, compared with the UK … This publication shows data up to 2011-12 on Scottish prison population levels and characteristics, receptions to/liberations from Scottish prisons, and international comparisons. 50% future EU migration variant - UK population in age groups. This document is available in: These population projections have been developed in collaboration with the National Records of Scotland (NRS) with support from the Universities of Edinburgh and Manchester. The major feature of the age-related projections is that Glasgow’s population - in line with the rest of Scotland - is predicted to become older. More information on the error can be found on the ONS website. Intermediate Zone (2011) from 2001 to 2019. A visualisation comparing projection variants for Scotland and the UK is available on the Infographics and Visualisations page of this website: Projected population change for Scotland and the UK under variant projections: 2018-based. Please note, a correction has been issued to the Key Findings Infographic for the national population projections. Future projections of the resident population of Scotland are produced by National Records of Scotland (NRS), usually every two years, for the following geographies: Scotland; NHS Board (Health Board) Council Area (Local Authority) Projections for small areas of Scotland below council area level are not produced by NRS, except for national parks. ISBN: 9781780459189. The population of Scotland has been increasing every decade since 1970’s from that point. An Infographic and Interactive data visualisation are available on the Infographics and Visualisations page of this website. 2. Population Pyramids of Scotland showing the changing age and sex structure of the country over time. The National Records of Scotland forecasts that Glasgow’s population will grow by 6% over the next 25 years, an increase of 36,000. Projected population change varies across Scotland. There is also information on the change between the most recent projection and the previous set in the publications themselves. Summary of projections for Northern Ireland Release | Released 21 October 2019 In … Population estimates for all geography types in Scotland: Data Zone (2011) from 2001 to 2019. 3. Over half of Scotland’s councils (18 out of 32) are projected to increase by mid-2028. Prison statistics and population projections Scotland: 2011-12. It uses both estimated and projected population data. There was a modest reduction in the population of the country during the 1970’s and 1990’s. Archive. It should be noted that the projections are based on past trends and do not explicitly model the potential impact of future changes in policy or practice on the prison population. The figures project that there will be 240,000 more pensioners over the next 25 years, an increase of 23.2%, while the working age population reduces by 7,000 people. Small Area Population Estimates, mid-2018. Population Projections for Scottish Areas (2016-based) Principal and variant population projections by age and sex for council, NHS Board, Strategic Development Plan and National Park areas. Population projections for Scotland using different assumptions of future EU migration. ... National Records of Scotland (NRS) have published a summary of the projections for Scotland. Scots are expected to live longer but inward migration will be essential to ensure the country’s population continues to grow, according to national statistics published today. Driven by modest natural increase and positive net immigration, the population will reach 77 million by 2050, according to the ONS projections. All content is available under the Open Government Licence v3.0, except where otherwise stated. The other papers from this group are also on this website. Longer-term projections for up to 70 years ahead show a decrease to 5.38 million by 2086. All content is available under the Open Government Licence v3.0, except where otherwise stated. Population Estimates. This page contains population pyramids of Scotland showing the changing age and sex structure of the country over time. Population projections for Scotland using different assumptions of future EU migration. Please get in touch if you need any further information, or have any suggestions for improvement. All resources include Scotland figures for the relevant time period. Statistical Service in Scotland. Charts. An error has been found in the 2018-based national population projections (NPP), involving the incorrect processing of cross-border flows between Wales and England. Data and analysis can be found in this section. Published: 29 Jun 2012. Uses and Limitations of Population Projections, Population and Household Projections Sub-Council Areas, Projected Population of Scotland (2018-based), Projected population change for Scotland and the UK under variant projections: 2018-based, statisticscustomerservices@nrscotland.gov.uk. Statistical bulletin for the UK population projections, as well as open data at UK and Scotland level. After the slight dip observed last year, the prison population has increased by 4 per cent to an annual daily average of 8,178 for 2011-12. The demographic history of Scotland includes all aspects of population history in what is now Scotland. The paper, PPWG (06) 09 - Accuracy of the Sub-National Population Projections for Scotland (available on this website) looking at the accuracy of the projections was published in 2006. 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